Computational tools¶
Statistical functions¶
Percent change¶
Series
and DataFrame
have a method
pct_change()
to compute the percent change over a given number
of periods (using fill_method
to fill NA/null values before computing
the percent change).
In [1]: ser = pd.Series(np.random.randn(8))
In [2]: ser.pct_change()
Out[2]:
0 NaN
1 -1.602976
2 4.334938
3 -0.247456
4 -2.067345
5 -1.142903
6 -1.688214
7 -9.759729
dtype: float64
In [3]: df = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(10, 4))
In [4]: df.pct_change(periods=3)
Out[4]:
0 1 2 3
0 NaN NaN NaN NaN
1 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2 NaN NaN NaN NaN
3 -0.218320 -1.054001 1.987147 -0.510183
4 -0.439121 -1.816454 0.649715 -4.822809
5 -0.127833 -3.042065 -5.866604 -1.776977
6 -2.596833 -1.959538 -2.111697 -3.798900
7 -0.117826 -2.169058 0.036094 -0.067696
8 2.492606 -1.357320 -1.205802 -1.558697
9 -1.012977 2.324558 -1.003744 -0.371806
Covariance¶
Series.cov()
can be used to compute covariance between series
(excluding missing values).
In [5]: s1 = pd.Series(np.random.randn(1000))
In [6]: s2 = pd.Series(np.random.randn(1000))
In [7]: s1.cov(s2)
Out[7]: 0.000680108817431082
Analogously, DataFrame.cov()
to compute pairwise covariances among the
series in the DataFrame, also excluding NA/null values.
Note
Assuming the missing data are missing at random this results in an estimate for the covariance matrix which is unbiased. However, for many applications this estimate may not be acceptable because the estimated covariance matrix is not guaranteed to be positive semi-definite. This could lead to estimated correlations having absolute values which are greater than one, and/or a non-invertible covariance matrix. See Estimation of covariance matrices for more details.
In [8]: frame = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(1000, 5),
...: columns=['a', 'b', 'c', 'd', 'e'])
...:
In [9]: frame.cov()
Out[9]:
a b c d e
a 1.000882 -0.003177 -0.002698 -0.006889 0.031912
b -0.003177 1.024721 0.000191 0.009212 0.000857
c -0.002698 0.000191 0.950735 -0.031743 -0.005087
d -0.006889 0.009212 -0.031743 1.002983 -0.047952
e 0.031912 0.000857 -0.005087 -0.047952 1.042487
DataFrame.cov
also supports an optional min_periods
keyword that
specifies the required minimum number of observations for each column pair
in order to have a valid result.
In [10]: frame = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(20, 3), columns=['a', 'b', 'c']) In [11]: frame.loc[frame.index[:5], 'a'] = np.nan In [12]: frame.loc[frame.index[5:10], 'b'] = np.nan In [13]: frame.cov() Out[13]: a b c a 1.123670 -0.412851 0.018169 b -0.412851 1.154141 0.305260 c 0.018169 0.305260 1.301149 In [14]: frame.cov(min_periods=12) Out[14]: a b c a 1.123670 NaN 0.018169 b NaN 1.154141 0.305260 c 0.018169 0.305260 1.301149
Correlation¶
Correlation may be computed using the corr()
method.
Using the method
parameter, several methods for computing correlations are
provided:
Method name | Description |
---|---|
pearson (default) |
Standard correlation coefficient |
kendall |
Kendall Tau correlation coefficient |
spearman |
Spearman rank correlation coefficient |
All of these are currently computed using pairwise complete observations. Wikipedia has articles covering the above correlation coefficients:
- Pearson correlation coefficient
- Kendall rank correlation coefficient
- Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient
Note
Please see the caveats associated with this method of calculating correlation matrices in the covariance section.
In [15]: frame = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(1000, 5), ....: columns=['a', 'b', 'c', 'd', 'e']) ....: In [16]: frame.iloc[::2] = np.nan # Series with Series In [17]: frame['a'].corr(frame['b']) Out[17]: 0.013479040400098794 In [18]: frame['a'].corr(frame['b'], method='spearman') Out[18]: -0.007289885159540637 # Pairwise correlation of DataFrame columns In [19]: frame.corr() Out[19]: a b c d e a 1.000000 0.013479 -0.049269 -0.042239 -0.028525 b 0.013479 1.000000 -0.020433 -0.011139 0.005654 c -0.049269 -0.020433 1.000000 0.018587 -0.054269 d -0.042239 -0.011139 0.018587 1.000000 -0.017060 e -0.028525 0.005654 -0.054269 -0.017060 1.000000
Note that non-numeric columns will be automatically excluded from the correlation calculation.
Like cov
, corr
also supports the optional min_periods
keyword:
In [20]: frame = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(20, 3), columns=['a', 'b', 'c']) In [21]: frame.loc[frame.index[:5], 'a'] = np.nan In [22]: frame.loc[frame.index[5:10], 'b'] = np.nan In [23]: frame.corr() Out[23]: a b c a 1.000000 -0.121111 0.069544 b -0.121111 1.000000 0.051742 c 0.069544 0.051742 1.000000 In [24]: frame.corr(min_periods=12) Out[24]: a b c a 1.000000 NaN 0.069544 b NaN 1.000000 0.051742 c 0.069544 0.051742 1.000000
New in version 0.24.0.
The method
argument can also be a callable for a generic correlation
calculation. In this case, it should be a single function
that produces a single value from two ndarray inputs. Suppose we wanted to
compute the correlation based on histogram intersection:
# histogram intersection
In [25]: def histogram_intersection(a, b):
....: return np.minimum(np.true_divide(a, a.sum()),
....: np.true_divide(b, b.sum())).sum()
....:
In [26]: frame.corr(method=histogram_intersection)
Out[26]:
a b c
a 1.000000 -6.404882 -2.058431
b -6.404882 1.000000 -19.255743
c -2.058431 -19.255743 1.000000
A related method corrwith()
is implemented on DataFrame to
compute the correlation between like-labeled Series contained in different
DataFrame objects.
In [27]: index = ['a', 'b', 'c', 'd', 'e'] In [28]: columns = ['one', 'two', 'three', 'four'] In [29]: df1 = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(5, 4), index=index, columns=columns) In [30]: df2 = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(4, 4), index=index[:4], columns=columns) In [31]: df1.corrwith(df2) Out[31]: one -0.125501 two -0.493244 three 0.344056 four 0.004183 dtype: float64 In [32]: df2.corrwith(df1, axis=1) Out[32]: a -0.675817 b 0.458296 c 0.190809 d -0.186275 e NaN dtype: float64
Data ranking¶
The rank()
method produces a data ranking with ties being
assigned the mean of the ranks (by default) for the group:
In [33]: s = pd.Series(np.random.randn(5), index=list('abcde'))
In [34]: s['d'] = s['b'] # so there's a tie
In [35]: s.rank()
Out[35]:
a 5.0
b 2.5
c 1.0
d 2.5
e 4.0
dtype: float64
rank()
is also a DataFrame method and can rank either the rows
(axis=0
) or the columns (axis=1
). NaN
values are excluded from the
ranking.
In [36]: df = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(10, 6)) In [37]: df[4] = df[2][:5] # some ties In [38]: df Out[38]: 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 -0.904948 -1.163537 -1.457187 0.135463 -1.457187 0.294650 1 -0.976288 -0.244652 -0.748406 -0.999601 -0.748406 -0.800809 2 0.401965 1.460840 1.256057 1.308127 1.256057 0.876004 3 0.205954 0.369552 -0.669304 0.038378 -0.669304 1.140296 4 -0.477586 -0.730705 -1.129149 -0.601463 -1.129149 -0.211196 5 -1.092970 -0.689246 0.908114 0.204848 NaN 0.463347 6 0.376892 0.959292 0.095572 -0.593740 NaN -0.069180 7 -1.002601 1.957794 -0.120708 0.094214 NaN -1.467422 8 -0.547231 0.664402 -0.519424 -0.073254 NaN -1.263544 9 -0.250277 -0.237428 -1.056443 0.419477 NaN 1.375064 In [39]: df.rank(1) Out[39]: 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 4.0 3.0 1.5 5.0 1.5 6.0 1 2.0 6.0 4.5 1.0 4.5 3.0 2 1.0 6.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 3 4.0 5.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 6.0 4 5.0 3.0 1.5 4.0 1.5 6.0 5 1.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 NaN 4.0 6 4.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 NaN 2.0 7 2.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 NaN 1.0 8 2.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 NaN 1.0 9 2.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 NaN 5.0
rank
optionally takes a parameter ascending
which by default is true;
when false, data is reverse-ranked, with larger values assigned a smaller rank.
rank
supports different tie-breaking methods, specified with the method
parameter:
average
: average rank of tied groupmin
: lowest rank in the groupmax
: highest rank in the groupfirst
: ranks assigned in the order they appear in the array
Window Functions¶
For working with data, a number of window functions are provided for computing common window or rolling statistics. Among these are count, sum, mean, median, correlation, variance, covariance, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis.
The rolling()
and expanding()
functions can be used directly from DataFrameGroupBy objects,
see the groupby docs.
Note
The API for window statistics is quite similar to the way one works with GroupBy
objects, see the documentation here.
We work with rolling
, expanding
and exponentially weighted
data through the corresponding
objects, Rolling
, Expanding
and EWM
.
In [40]: s = pd.Series(np.random.randn(1000),
....: index=pd.date_range('1/1/2000', periods=1000))
....:
In [41]: s = s.cumsum()
In [42]: s
Out[42]:
2000-01-01 -0.268824
2000-01-02 -1.771855
2000-01-03 -0.818003
2000-01-04 -0.659244
2000-01-05 -1.942133
...
2002-09-22 -67.457323
2002-09-23 -69.253182
2002-09-24 -70.296818
2002-09-25 -70.844674
2002-09-26 -72.475016
Freq: D, Length: 1000, dtype: float64
These are created from methods on Series
and DataFrame
.
In [43]: r = s.rolling(window=60)
In [44]: r
Out[44]: Rolling [window=60,center=False,axis=0]
These object provide tab-completion of the available methods and properties.
In [14]: r.<TAB> # noqa: E225, E999
r.agg r.apply r.count r.exclusions r.max r.median r.name r.skew r.sum
r.aggregate r.corr r.cov r.kurt r.mean r.min r.quantile r.std r.var
Generally these methods all have the same interface. They all accept the following arguments:
window
: size of moving windowmin_periods
: threshold of non-null data points to require (otherwise result is NA)center
: boolean, whether to set the labels at the center (default is False)
We can then call methods on these rolling
objects. These return like-indexed objects:
In [45]: r.mean()
Out[45]:
2000-01-01 NaN
2000-01-02 NaN
2000-01-03 NaN
2000-01-04 NaN
2000-01-05 NaN
...
2002-09-22 -62.914971
2002-09-23 -63.061867
2002-09-24 -63.213876
2002-09-25 -63.375074
2002-09-26 -63.539734
Freq: D, Length: 1000, dtype: float64
In [46]: s.plot(style='k--') Out[46]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f452f385a90> In [47]: r.mean().plot(style='k') Out[47]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f452f385a90>
They can also be applied to DataFrame objects. This is really just syntactic sugar for applying the moving window operator to all of the DataFrame’s columns:
In [48]: df = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(1000, 4),
....: index=pd.date_range('1/1/2000', periods=1000),
....: columns=['A', 'B', 'C', 'D'])
....:
In [49]: df = df.cumsum()
In [50]: df.rolling(window=60).sum().plot(subplots=True)
Out[50]:
array([<matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot object at 0x7f4529d2e610>,
<matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot object at 0x7f4529cedd50>,
<matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot object at 0x7f4529d2e5d0>,
<matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot object at 0x7f4529cd8f90>],
dtype=object)
Method summary¶
We provide a number of common statistical functions:
Method | Description |
---|---|
count() |
Number of non-null observations |
sum() |
Sum of values |
mean() |
Mean of values |
median() |
Arithmetic median of values |
min() |
Minimum |
max() |
Maximum |
std() |
Bessel-corrected sample standard deviation |
var() |
Unbiased variance |
skew() |
Sample skewness (3rd moment) |
kurt() |
Sample kurtosis (4th moment) |
quantile() |
Sample quantile (value at %) |
apply() |
Generic apply |
cov() |
Unbiased covariance (binary) |
corr() |
Correlation (binary) |
The apply()
function takes an extra func
argument and performs
generic rolling computations. The func
argument should be a single function
that produces a single value from an ndarray input. Suppose we wanted to
compute the mean absolute deviation on a rolling basis:
In [51]: def mad(x):
....: return np.fabs(x - x.mean()).mean()
....:
In [52]: s.rolling(window=60).apply(mad, raw=True).plot(style='k')
Out[52]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f4529c6b690>
Rolling windows¶
Passing win_type
to .rolling
generates a generic rolling window computation, that is weighted according the win_type
.
The following methods are available:
Method | Description |
---|---|
sum() |
Sum of values |
mean() |
Mean of values |
The weights used in the window are specified by the win_type
keyword.
The list of recognized types are the scipy.signal window functions:
boxcar
triang
blackman
hamming
bartlett
parzen
bohman
blackmanharris
nuttall
barthann
kaiser
(needs beta)gaussian
(needs std)general_gaussian
(needs power, width)slepian
(needs width)exponential
(needs tau).
In [53]: ser = pd.Series(np.random.randn(10),
....: index=pd.date_range('1/1/2000', periods=10))
....:
In [54]: ser.rolling(window=5, win_type='triang').mean()
Out[54]:
2000-01-01 NaN
2000-01-02 NaN
2000-01-03 NaN
2000-01-04 NaN
2000-01-05 -1.037870
2000-01-06 -0.767705
2000-01-07 -0.383197
2000-01-08 -0.395513
2000-01-09 -0.558440
2000-01-10 -0.672416
Freq: D, dtype: float64
Note that the boxcar
window is equivalent to mean()
.
In [55]: ser.rolling(window=5, win_type='boxcar').mean() Out[55]: 2000-01-01 NaN 2000-01-02 NaN 2000-01-03 NaN 2000-01-04 NaN 2000-01-05 -0.841164 2000-01-06 -0.779948 2000-01-07 -0.565487 2000-01-08 -0.502815 2000-01-09 -0.553755 2000-01-10 -0.472211 Freq: D, dtype: float64 In [56]: ser.rolling(window=5).mean() Out[56]: 2000-01-01 NaN 2000-01-02 NaN 2000-01-03 NaN 2000-01-04 NaN 2000-01-05 -0.841164 2000-01-06 -0.779948 2000-01-07 -0.565487 2000-01-08 -0.502815 2000-01-09 -0.553755 2000-01-10 -0.472211 Freq: D, dtype: float64
For some windowing functions, additional parameters must be specified:
In [57]: ser.rolling(window=5, win_type='gaussian').mean(std=0.1)
Out[57]:
2000-01-01 NaN
2000-01-02 NaN
2000-01-03 NaN
2000-01-04 NaN
2000-01-05 -1.309989
2000-01-06 -1.153000
2000-01-07 0.606382
2000-01-08 -0.681101
2000-01-09 -0.289724
2000-01-10 -0.996632
Freq: D, dtype: float64
Note
For .sum()
with a win_type
, there is no normalization done to the
weights for the window. Passing custom weights of [1, 1, 1]
will yield a different
result than passing weights of [2, 2, 2]
, for example. When passing a
win_type
instead of explicitly specifying the weights, the weights are
already normalized so that the largest weight is 1.
In contrast, the nature of the .mean()
calculation is
such that the weights are normalized with respect to each other. Weights
of [1, 1, 1]
and [2, 2, 2]
yield the same result.
Time-aware rolling¶
New in version 0.19.0.
New in version 0.19.0 are the ability to pass an offset (or convertible) to a .rolling()
method and have it produce
variable sized windows based on the passed time window. For each time point, this includes all preceding values occurring
within the indicated time delta.
This can be particularly useful for a non-regular time frequency index.
In [58]: dft = pd.DataFrame({'B': [0, 1, 2, np.nan, 4]},
....: index=pd.date_range('20130101 09:00:00',
....: periods=5,
....: freq='s'))
....:
In [59]: dft
Out[59]:
B
2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0
2013-01-01 09:00:01 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:02 2.0
2013-01-01 09:00:03 NaN
2013-01-01 09:00:04 4.0
This is a regular frequency index. Using an integer window parameter works to roll along the window frequency.
In [60]: dft.rolling(2).sum() Out[60]: B 2013-01-01 09:00:00 NaN 2013-01-01 09:00:01 1.0 2013-01-01 09:00:02 3.0 2013-01-01 09:00:03 NaN 2013-01-01 09:00:04 NaN In [61]: dft.rolling(2, min_periods=1).sum() Out[61]: B 2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0 2013-01-01 09:00:01 1.0 2013-01-01 09:00:02 3.0 2013-01-01 09:00:03 2.0 2013-01-01 09:00:04 4.0
Specifying an offset allows a more intuitive specification of the rolling frequency.
In [62]: dft.rolling('2s').sum()
Out[62]:
B
2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0
2013-01-01 09:00:01 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:02 3.0
2013-01-01 09:00:03 2.0
2013-01-01 09:00:04 4.0
Using a non-regular, but still monotonic index, rolling with an integer window does not impart any special calculation.
In [63]: dft = pd.DataFrame({'B': [0, 1, 2, np.nan, 4]}, ....: index=pd.Index([pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:00'), ....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:02'), ....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:03'), ....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:05'), ....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:06')], ....: name='foo')) ....: In [64]: dft Out[64]: B foo 2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0 2013-01-01 09:00:02 1.0 2013-01-01 09:00:03 2.0 2013-01-01 09:00:05 NaN 2013-01-01 09:00:06 4.0 In [65]: dft.rolling(2).sum() Out[65]: B foo 2013-01-01 09:00:00 NaN 2013-01-01 09:00:02 1.0 2013-01-01 09:00:03 3.0 2013-01-01 09:00:05 NaN 2013-01-01 09:00:06 NaN
Using the time-specification generates variable windows for this sparse data.
In [66]: dft.rolling('2s').sum()
Out[66]:
B
foo
2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0
2013-01-01 09:00:02 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:03 3.0
2013-01-01 09:00:05 NaN
2013-01-01 09:00:06 4.0
Furthermore, we now allow an optional on
parameter to specify a column (rather than the
default of the index) in a DataFrame.
In [67]: dft = dft.reset_index() In [68]: dft Out[68]: foo B 0 2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0 1 2013-01-01 09:00:02 1.0 2 2013-01-01 09:00:03 2.0 3 2013-01-01 09:00:05 NaN 4 2013-01-01 09:00:06 4.0 In [69]: dft.rolling('2s', on='foo').sum() Out[69]: foo B 0 2013-01-01 09:00:00 0.0 1 2013-01-01 09:00:02 1.0 2 2013-01-01 09:00:03 3.0 3 2013-01-01 09:00:05 NaN 4 2013-01-01 09:00:06 4.0
Rolling window endpoints¶
New in version 0.20.0.
The inclusion of the interval endpoints in rolling window calculations can be specified with the closed
parameter:
closed |
Description | Default for |
---|---|---|
right |
close right endpoint | time-based windows |
left |
close left endpoint | |
both |
close both endpoints | fixed windows |
neither |
open endpoints |
For example, having the right endpoint open is useful in many problems that require that there is no contamination from present information back to past information. This allows the rolling window to compute statistics “up to that point in time”, but not including that point in time.
In [70]: df = pd.DataFrame({'x': 1},
....: index=[pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:01'),
....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:02'),
....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:03'),
....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:04'),
....: pd.Timestamp('20130101 09:00:06')])
....:
In [71]: df["right"] = df.rolling('2s', closed='right').x.sum() # default
In [72]: df["both"] = df.rolling('2s', closed='both').x.sum()
In [73]: df["left"] = df.rolling('2s', closed='left').x.sum()
In [74]: df["neither"] = df.rolling('2s', closed='neither').x.sum()
In [75]: df
Out[75]:
x right both left neither
2013-01-01 09:00:01 1 1.0 1.0 NaN NaN
2013-01-01 09:00:02 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:03 1 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:04 1 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
2013-01-01 09:00:06 1 1.0 2.0 1.0 NaN
Currently, this feature is only implemented for time-based windows. For fixed windows, the closed parameter cannot be set and the rolling window will always have both endpoints closed.
Time-aware rolling vs. resampling¶
Using .rolling()
with a time-based index is quite similar to resampling. They
both operate and perform reductive operations on time-indexed pandas objects.
When using .rolling()
with an offset. The offset is a time-delta. Take a backwards-in-time looking window, and
aggregate all of the values in that window (including the end-point, but not the start-point). This is the new value
at that point in the result. These are variable sized windows in time-space for each point of the input. You will get
a same sized result as the input.
When using .resample()
with an offset. Construct a new index that is the frequency of the offset. For each frequency
bin, aggregate points from the input within a backwards-in-time looking window that fall in that bin. The result of this
aggregation is the output for that frequency point. The windows are fixed size in the frequency space. Your result
will have the shape of a regular frequency between the min and the max of the original input object.
To summarize, .rolling()
is a time-based window operation, while .resample()
is a frequency-based window operation.
Centering windows¶
By default the labels are set to the right edge of the window, but a
center
keyword is available so the labels can be set at the center.
In [76]: ser.rolling(window=5).mean() Out[76]: 2000-01-01 NaN 2000-01-02 NaN 2000-01-03 NaN 2000-01-04 NaN 2000-01-05 -0.841164 2000-01-06 -0.779948 2000-01-07 -0.565487 2000-01-08 -0.502815 2000-01-09 -0.553755 2000-01-10 -0.472211 Freq: D, dtype: float64 In [77]: ser.rolling(window=5, center=True).mean() Out[77]: 2000-01-01 NaN 2000-01-02 NaN 2000-01-03 -0.841164 2000-01-04 -0.779948 2000-01-05 -0.565487 2000-01-06 -0.502815 2000-01-07 -0.553755 2000-01-08 -0.472211 2000-01-09 NaN 2000-01-10 NaN Freq: D, dtype: float64
Binary window functions¶
cov()
and corr()
can compute moving window statistics about
two Series
or any combination of DataFrame/Series
or
DataFrame/DataFrame
. Here is the behavior in each case:
- two
Series
: compute the statistic for the pairing. DataFrame/Series
: compute the statistics for each column of the DataFrame with the passed Series, thus returning a DataFrame.DataFrame/DataFrame
: by default compute the statistic for matching column names, returning a DataFrame. If the keyword argumentpairwise=True
is passed then computes the statistic for each pair of columns, returning aMultiIndexed DataFrame
whoseindex
are the dates in question (see the next section).
For example:
In [78]: df = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(1000, 4),
....: index=pd.date_range('1/1/2000', periods=1000),
....: columns=['A', 'B', 'C', 'D'])
....:
In [79]: df = df.cumsum()
In [80]: df2 = df[:20]
In [81]: df2.rolling(window=5).corr(df2['B'])
Out[81]:
A B C D
2000-01-01 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2000-01-02 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2000-01-03 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2000-01-04 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2000-01-05 0.768775 1.0 -0.977990 0.800252
... ... ... ... ...
2000-01-16 0.691078 1.0 0.807450 -0.939302
2000-01-17 0.274506 1.0 0.582601 -0.902954
2000-01-18 0.330459 1.0 0.515707 -0.545268
2000-01-19 0.046756 1.0 -0.104334 -0.419799
2000-01-20 -0.328241 1.0 -0.650974 -0.777777
[20 rows x 4 columns]
Computing rolling pairwise covariances and correlations¶
In financial data analysis and other fields it’s common to compute covariance
and correlation matrices for a collection of time series. Often one is also
interested in moving-window covariance and correlation matrices. This can be
done by passing the pairwise
keyword argument, which in the case of
DataFrame
inputs will yield a MultiIndexed DataFrame
whose index
are the dates in
question. In the case of a single DataFrame argument the pairwise
argument
can even be omitted:
Note
Missing values are ignored and each entry is computed using the pairwise complete observations. Please see the covariance section for caveats associated with this method of calculating covariance and correlation matrices.
In [82]: covs = (df[['B', 'C', 'D']].rolling(window=50)
....: .cov(df[['A', 'B', 'C']], pairwise=True))
....:
In [83]: covs.loc['2002-09-22':]
Out[83]:
B C D
2002-09-22 A 1.367467 8.676734 -8.047366
B 3.067315 0.865946 -1.052533
C 0.865946 7.739761 -4.943924
2002-09-23 A 0.910343 8.669065 -8.443062
B 2.625456 0.565152 -0.907654
C 0.565152 7.825521 -5.367526
2002-09-24 A 0.463332 8.514509 -8.776514
B 2.306695 0.267746 -0.732186
C 0.267746 7.771425 -5.696962
2002-09-25 A 0.467976 8.198236 -9.162599
B 2.307129 0.267287 -0.754080
C 0.267287 7.466559 -5.822650
2002-09-26 A 0.545781 7.899084 -9.326238
B 2.311058 0.322295 -0.844451
C 0.322295 7.038237 -5.684445
In [84]: correls = df.rolling(window=50).corr()
In [85]: correls.loc['2002-09-22':]
Out[85]:
A B C D
2002-09-22 A 1.000000 0.186397 0.744551 -0.769767
B 0.186397 1.000000 0.177725 -0.240802
C 0.744551 0.177725 1.000000 -0.712051
D -0.769767 -0.240802 -0.712051 1.000000
2002-09-23 A 1.000000 0.134723 0.743113 -0.758758
... ... ... ... ...
2002-09-25 D -0.739160 -0.164179 -0.704686 1.000000
2002-09-26 A 1.000000 0.087756 0.727792 -0.736562
B 0.087756 1.000000 0.079913 -0.179477
C 0.727792 0.079913 1.000000 -0.692303
D -0.736562 -0.179477 -0.692303 1.000000
[20 rows x 4 columns]
You can efficiently retrieve the time series of correlations between two columns by reshaping and indexing:
In [86]: correls.unstack(1)[('A', 'C')].plot()
Out[86]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f45298ec050>
Aggregation¶
Once the Rolling
, Expanding
or EWM
objects have been created, several methods are available to
perform multiple computations on the data. These operations are similar to the aggregating API,
groupby API, and resample API.
In [87]: dfa = pd.DataFrame(np.random.randn(1000, 3),
....: index=pd.date_range('1/1/2000', periods=1000),
....: columns=['A', 'B', 'C'])
....:
In [88]: r = dfa.rolling(window=60, min_periods=1)
In [89]: r
Out[89]: Rolling [window=60,min_periods=1,center=False,axis=0]
We can aggregate by passing a function to the entire DataFrame, or select a
Series (or multiple Series) via standard __getitem__
.
In [90]: r.aggregate(np.sum) Out[90]: A B C 2000-01-01 -0.289838 -0.370545 -1.284206 2000-01-02 -0.216612 -1.675528 -1.169415 2000-01-03 1.154661 -1.634017 -1.566620 2000-01-04 2.969393 -4.003274 -1.816179 2000-01-05 4.690630 -4.682017 -2.717209 ... ... ... ... 2002-09-22 2.860036 -9.270337 6.415245 2002-09-23 3.510163 -8.151439 5.177219 2002-09-24 6.524983 -10.168078 5.792639 2002-09-25 6.409626 -9.956226 5.704050 2002-09-26 5.093787 -7.074515 6.905823 [1000 rows x 3 columns] In [91]: r['A'].aggregate(np.sum) Out[91]: 2000-01-01 -0.289838 2000-01-02 -0.216612 2000-01-03 1.154661 2000-01-04 2.969393 2000-01-05 4.690630 ... 2002-09-22 2.860036 2002-09-23 3.510163 2002-09-24 6.524983 2002-09-25 6.409626 2002-09-26 5.093787 Freq: D, Name: A, Length: 1000, dtype: float64 In [92]: r[['A', 'B']].aggregate(np.sum) Out[92]: A B 2000-01-01 -0.289838 -0.370545 2000-01-02 -0.216612 -1.675528 2000-01-03 1.154661 -1.634017 2000-01-04 2.969393 -4.003274 2000-01-05 4.690630 -4.682017 ... ... ... 2002-09-22 2.860036 -9.270337 2002-09-23 3.510163 -8.151439 2002-09-24 6.524983 -10.168078 2002-09-25 6.409626 -9.956226 2002-09-26 5.093787 -7.074515 [1000 rows x 2 columns]
As you can see, the result of the aggregation will have the selected columns, or all columns if none are selected.
Applying multiple functions¶
With windowed Series
you can also pass a list of functions to do
aggregation with, outputting a DataFrame:
In [93]: r['A'].agg([np.sum, np.mean, np.std])
Out[93]:
sum mean std
2000-01-01 -0.289838 -0.289838 NaN
2000-01-02 -0.216612 -0.108306 0.256725
2000-01-03 1.154661 0.384887 0.873311
2000-01-04 2.969393 0.742348 1.009734
2000-01-05 4.690630 0.938126 0.977914
... ... ... ...
2002-09-22 2.860036 0.047667 1.132051
2002-09-23 3.510163 0.058503 1.134296
2002-09-24 6.524983 0.108750 1.144204
2002-09-25 6.409626 0.106827 1.142913
2002-09-26 5.093787 0.084896 1.151416
[1000 rows x 3 columns]
On a windowed DataFrame, you can pass a list of functions to apply to each column, which produces an aggregated result with a hierarchical index:
In [94]: r.agg([np.sum, np.mean])
Out[94]:
A B C
sum mean sum mean sum mean
2000-01-01 -0.289838 -0.289838 -0.370545 -0.370545 -1.284206 -1.284206
2000-01-02 -0.216612 -0.108306 -1.675528 -0.837764 -1.169415 -0.584708
2000-01-03 1.154661 0.384887 -1.634017 -0.544672 -1.566620 -0.522207
2000-01-04 2.969393 0.742348 -4.003274 -1.000819 -1.816179 -0.454045
2000-01-05 4.690630 0.938126 -4.682017 -0.936403 -2.717209 -0.543442
... ... ... ... ... ... ...
2002-09-22 2.860036 0.047667 -9.270337 -0.154506 6.415245 0.106921
2002-09-23 3.510163 0.058503 -8.151439 -0.135857 5.177219 0.086287
2002-09-24 6.524983 0.108750 -10.168078 -0.169468 5.792639 0.096544
2002-09-25 6.409626 0.106827 -9.956226 -0.165937 5.704050 0.095068
2002-09-26 5.093787 0.084896 -7.074515 -0.117909 6.905823 0.115097
[1000 rows x 6 columns]
Passing a dict of functions has different behavior by default, see the next section.
Applying different functions to DataFrame columns¶
By passing a dict to aggregate
you can apply a different aggregation to the
columns of a DataFrame
:
In [95]: r.agg({'A': np.sum, 'B': lambda x: np.std(x, ddof=1)})
Out[95]:
A B
2000-01-01 -0.289838 NaN
2000-01-02 -0.216612 0.660747
2000-01-03 1.154661 0.689929
2000-01-04 2.969393 1.072199
2000-01-05 4.690630 0.939657
... ... ...
2002-09-22 2.860036 1.113208
2002-09-23 3.510163 1.132381
2002-09-24 6.524983 1.080963
2002-09-25 6.409626 1.082911
2002-09-26 5.093787 1.136199
[1000 rows x 2 columns]
The function names can also be strings. In order for a string to be valid it must be implemented on the windowed object
In [96]: r.agg({'A': 'sum', 'B': 'std'})
Out[96]:
A B
2000-01-01 -0.289838 NaN
2000-01-02 -0.216612 0.660747
2000-01-03 1.154661 0.689929
2000-01-04 2.969393 1.072199
2000-01-05 4.690630 0.939657
... ... ...
2002-09-22 2.860036 1.113208
2002-09-23 3.510163 1.132381
2002-09-24 6.524983 1.080963
2002-09-25 6.409626 1.082911
2002-09-26 5.093787 1.136199
[1000 rows x 2 columns]
Furthermore you can pass a nested dict to indicate different aggregations on different columns.
In [97]: r.agg({'A': ['sum', 'std'], 'B': ['mean', 'std']})
Out[97]:
A B
sum std mean std
2000-01-01 -0.289838 NaN -0.370545 NaN
2000-01-02 -0.216612 0.256725 -0.837764 0.660747
2000-01-03 1.154661 0.873311 -0.544672 0.689929
2000-01-04 2.969393 1.009734 -1.000819 1.072199
2000-01-05 4.690630 0.977914 -0.936403 0.939657
... ... ... ... ...
2002-09-22 2.860036 1.132051 -0.154506 1.113208
2002-09-23 3.510163 1.134296 -0.135857 1.132381
2002-09-24 6.524983 1.144204 -0.169468 1.080963
2002-09-25 6.409626 1.142913 -0.165937 1.082911
2002-09-26 5.093787 1.151416 -0.117909 1.136199
[1000 rows x 4 columns]
Expanding windows¶
A common alternative to rolling statistics is to use an expanding window, which yields the value of the statistic with all the data available up to that point in time.
These follow a similar interface to .rolling
, with the .expanding
method
returning an Expanding
object.
As these calculations are a special case of rolling statistics, they are implemented in pandas such that the following two calls are equivalent:
In [98]: df.rolling(window=len(df), min_periods=1).mean()[:5] Out[98]: A B C D 2000-01-01 0.314226 -0.001675 0.071823 0.892566 2000-01-02 0.654522 -0.171495 0.179278 0.853361 2000-01-03 0.708733 -0.064489 -0.238271 1.371111 2000-01-04 0.987613 0.163472 -0.919693 1.566485 2000-01-05 1.426971 0.288267 -1.358877 1.808650 In [99]: df.expanding(min_periods=1).mean()[:5] Out[99]: A B C D 2000-01-01 0.314226 -0.001675 0.071823 0.892566 2000-01-02 0.654522 -0.171495 0.179278 0.853361 2000-01-03 0.708733 -0.064489 -0.238271 1.371111 2000-01-04 0.987613 0.163472 -0.919693 1.566485 2000-01-05 1.426971 0.288267 -1.358877 1.808650
These have a similar set of methods to .rolling
methods.
Method summary¶
Function | Description |
---|---|
count() |
Number of non-null observations |
sum() |
Sum of values |
mean() |
Mean of values |
median() |
Arithmetic median of values |
min() |
Minimum |
max() |
Maximum |
std() |
Unbiased standard deviation |
var() |
Unbiased variance |
skew() |
Unbiased skewness (3rd moment) |
kurt() |
Unbiased kurtosis (4th moment) |
quantile() |
Sample quantile (value at %) |
apply() |
Generic apply |
cov() |
Unbiased covariance (binary) |
corr() |
Correlation (binary) |
Aside from not having a window
parameter, these functions have the same
interfaces as their .rolling
counterparts. Like above, the parameters they
all accept are:
min_periods
: threshold of non-null data points to require. Defaults to minimum needed to compute statistic. NoNaNs
will be output oncemin_periods
non-null data points have been seen.center
: boolean, whether to set the labels at the center (default is False).
Note
The output of the .rolling
and .expanding
methods do not return a
NaN
if there are at least min_periods
non-null values in the current
window. For example:
In [100]: sn = pd.Series([1, 2, np.nan, 3, np.nan, 4]) In [101]: sn Out[101]: 0 1.0 1 2.0 2 NaN 3 3.0 4 NaN 5 4.0 dtype: float64 In [102]: sn.rolling(2).max() Out[102]: 0 NaN 1 2.0 2 NaN 3 NaN 4 NaN 5 NaN dtype: float64 In [103]: sn.rolling(2, min_periods=1).max() Out[103]: 0 1.0 1 2.0 2 2.0 3 3.0 4 3.0 5 4.0 dtype: float64
In case of expanding functions, this differs from cumsum()
,
cumprod()
, cummax()
,
and cummin()
, which return NaN
in the output wherever
a NaN
is encountered in the input. In order to match the output of cumsum
with expanding
, use fillna()
:
In [104]: sn.expanding().sum() Out[104]: 0 1.0 1 3.0 2 3.0 3 6.0 4 6.0 5 10.0 dtype: float64 In [105]: sn.cumsum() Out[105]: 0 1.0 1 3.0 2 NaN 3 6.0 4 NaN 5 10.0 dtype: float64 In [106]: sn.cumsum().fillna(method='ffill') Out[106]: 0 1.0 1 3.0 2 3.0 3 6.0 4 6.0 5 10.0 dtype: float64
An expanding window statistic will be more stable (and less responsive) than
its rolling window counterpart as the increasing window size decreases the
relative impact of an individual data point. As an example, here is the
mean()
output for the previous time series dataset:
In [107]: s.plot(style='k--') Out[107]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f45296919d0> In [108]: s.expanding().mean().plot(style='k') Out[108]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f45296919d0>
Exponentially weighted windows¶
A related set of functions are exponentially weighted versions of several of
the above statistics. A similar interface to .rolling
and .expanding
is accessed
through the .ewm
method to receive an EWM
object.
A number of expanding EW (exponentially weighted)
methods are provided:
Function | Description |
---|---|
mean() |
EW moving average |
var() |
EW moving variance |
std() |
EW moving standard deviation |
corr() |
EW moving correlation |
cov() |
EW moving covariance |
In general, a weighted moving average is calculated as
where \(x_t\) is the input, \(y_t\) is the result and the \(w_i\) are the weights.
The EW functions support two variants of exponential weights.
The default, adjust=True
, uses the weights \(w_i = (1 - \alpha)^i\)
which gives
When adjust=False
is specified, moving averages are calculated as
which is equivalent to using weights
Note
These equations are sometimes written in terms of \(\alpha' = 1 - \alpha\), e.g.
The difference between the above two variants arises because we are
dealing with series which have finite history. Consider a series of infinite
history, with adjust=True
:
Noting that the denominator is a geometric series with initial term equal to 1 and a ratio of \(1 - \alpha\) we have
which is the same expression as adjust=False
above and therefore
shows the equivalence of the two variants for infinite series.
When adjust=False
, we have \(y_0 = x_0\) and
\(y_t = \alpha x_t + (1 - \alpha) y_{t-1}\).
Therefore, there is an assumption that \(x_0\) is not an ordinary value
but rather an exponentially weighted moment of the infinite series up to that
point.
One must have \(0 < \alpha \leq 1\), and while since version 0.18.0 it has been possible to pass \(\alpha\) directly, it’s often easier to think about either the span, center of mass (com) or half-life of an EW moment:
One must specify precisely one of span, center of mass, half-life and alpha to the EW functions:
- Span corresponds to what is commonly called an “N-day EW moving average”.
- Center of mass has a more physical interpretation and can be thought of in terms of span: \(c = (s - 1) / 2\).
- Half-life is the period of time for the exponential weight to reduce to one half.
- Alpha specifies the smoothing factor directly.
Here is an example for a univariate time series:
In [109]: s.plot(style='k--') Out[109]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f45295c4a90> In [110]: s.ewm(span=20).mean().plot(style='k') Out[110]: <matplotlib.axes._subplots.AxesSubplot at 0x7f45295c4a90>
EWM has a min_periods
argument, which has the same
meaning it does for all the .expanding
and .rolling
methods:
no output values will be set until at least min_periods
non-null values
are encountered in the (expanding) window.
EWM also has an ignore_na
argument, which determines how
intermediate null values affect the calculation of the weights.
When ignore_na=False
(the default), weights are calculated based on absolute
positions, so that intermediate null values affect the result.
When ignore_na=True
,
weights are calculated by ignoring intermediate null values.
For example, assuming adjust=True
, if ignore_na=False
, the weighted
average of 3, NaN, 5
would be calculated as
Whereas if ignore_na=True
, the weighted average would be calculated as
The var()
, std()
, and cov()
functions have a bias
argument,
specifying whether the result should contain biased or unbiased statistics.
For example, if bias=True
, ewmvar(x)
is calculated as
ewmvar(x) = ewma(x**2) - ewma(x)**2
;
whereas if bias=False
(the default), the biased variance statistics
are scaled by debiasing factors
(For \(w_i = 1\), this reduces to the usual \(N / (N - 1)\) factor, with \(N = t + 1\).) See Weighted Sample Variance on Wikipedia for further details.